Friday, March 26, 2010

Iraq Election Results Coming Soon

We should hear the election results in about 90 minutes, 7:00 pm baghdad time.
I hope it won't be a 91:91 tie between Allawi and Maliki as some calculations and predictions are showing--such result would be bad for post-eelction negotiations and could seriously complictae cabinet formation. I will try to share some analysis later.

-----
30 minutes after 7:00pm...
Now they say the election commissioners are in a meeting!
Looks like there will be some delay.

-----
Another 30 minutes...
Ok, the election commission press conference begins!

-----
The guy is giving a speech...seriously!?

-----
By the way, the press conference can be viewed live here, but it's in Arabic.

-----
Nice, another speech! This time it's the UN guy.

-----
Ok, at least he's saying there were no evidence of major fraud and that the results ought to be accepted by all.

-----
Yet another speech! (just give me the damn results)

-----
They're talking too much. I sense they have bad news for Maliki.

-----
Finally. They are reading the results, slowly. Will take a while to go through all of them.

-----
Allawi got two seats in Diwaniyah. This may actually be decisive .

-----
And Allawi got another 2 in Wassit. I guess he's getting close.

-----
At the final count:

Allawi: 89
Maliki: 87
Hakim+Sadr: 68
PUK+KDP: 42
Tawafok: 6
Change (Goran): 8
Bolani: 4
Islamic Union (Kurdish): 4
Islamic Group (Kurdish): 2


-----
Adding the 7 compensatory seats, the final picture looks like this:

Allawi: 89+2=91
Maliki: 87+2=89
Hakim+Sadr: 68+2=70
PUK+KDP: 42+1=43
Change (Goran): 8
Tawafok (Accord): 6
Iraq Unity (Bolani): 4
Islamic Union (Kurdish): 4
Islamic Group (Kurdish): 2
Minorities: 8

============
Total: 325

No comments: